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[NL2-NL10] NL10 - MSS, TT in MP1

    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $28.38
      BU:
      $11.00
      SB:
      $11.43
      BB:
      $5.32
      UTG2:
      $10.18
      MP1 (Hero):
      $4.02
      MP2:
      $3.40
      MP3:
      $12.59


      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with T, T.
      UTG2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 5 folds, BB calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($0.85) 8, 6, 4 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, BB raises to $4.92, Hero calls $2.42(All-In).

      Turn: ($9.39) 2 (2 players)


      River: ($9.39) 4 (2 players)


      Final Pot: $9.39.

      Results follow:

      Hero shows two pairs, tens and fours(Ts Tc).
      BB shows two pairs, queens and fours(Qh Qd).

      BB wins with two pairs, queens and fours(Qh Qd).

      Villain stats in 110 hands :
      21(vpip)/3(pfr)/2(3bet)/-/0(steal)
      67(cbet)/68(fcbet)/-/24(wtsd)/4.0(af)
      dbet -

      I think raise is mandatory, I can't let him complete a flushdraw for such a cheap price. Should I fold after his 3bet on the flop?
  • 3 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      Can you put him on a shoving range, then calculate your equity. Furthermore calculate your pot odds here and last but not least conclude whether you can call or not?

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      I don't know, people tend to get more and more passive, haven't seen someone raising or calling an allin with an incomplete flushdraw in a long, long time. In this case I assign him a range of JJ, 99,88, 66, 44 :


      Board: 8:heart: 6:club: 4:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    35.86%  35.32%   0.54% { TsTc }
      MP3    64.14%  63.60%   0.54% { JJ, 99-88, 66, 44 }


      Even when I add something like Ac9c it doesn't change much but when I add A8o it becomes a coinflip. The problem is that I don't know, but tend to think he won't raise A8 in this spot. I don't think you can help with that question because it should be my job to know how he's playing, since he's my opponent :P
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      I just think he has the nuts here (set++) so you can raise/fold because he calls with everything you beat

      Best regards,
      Gerv