[NL2-NL10] NL10 - MSS, AA in MP2

    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $7.76
      BU:
      $4.97
      SB:
      $10.00
      BB:
      $6.59
      UTG2:
      $12.87
      MP1:
      $10.42
      MP2 (Hero):
      $4.30
      MP3:
      $12.91


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, MP3 calls $0.40, 3 folds, BB calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($1.25) 8, 5, T (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.90, MP3 raises to $2.91, BB folds, Hero raises to $3.90, MP3 calls $0.99.

      Turn: ($9.05) 3 (2 players)


      River: ($9.05) Q (2 players)


      Final Pot: $9.05.

      Results follow:

      MP3 shows three of a kind, eights(8d 8c).
      Hero shows a pair of aces(Ad Ac).

      MP3 wins with three of a kind, eights(8d 8c).

      Villain stats in 267 hands :
      14(vpip)/7(pfr)/1(3b)/33(f 3b)/24(steal)
      50(cbet)/57(fcbet)/0/22(wtsd)/2.2(af)

      Fold on flop?
  • 6 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      This player won't have that many Tx in his range since you block AT a lot and since he plays 14/7 (again ranges) he isn't check/raise bluffing often so bet/fold all the way

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      I thought about JJ, QQ (standard call around here, another indicator that he's calling QQ would be his incredible low 3bet), I did think in ranges but I couldn't equilab it in real time at the table. It appears I'm ahead this range :


      Board: 8:spade: 5:spade: T:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    55.06%  55.06%   0.00% { AA }
      MP3    44.94%  44.94%   0.00% { QQ-TT, 88, 55 }


      What I don't know is how would he play QQ, JJ on the flop. Some people call, some raise.
    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      Sorry for double post, forgot to press the button :D
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Don't think he autoflats QQ-JJ pre nor I don't think he automatically raises the Flop 100% so putting some weight on the ranges, I rather thing he raises sets more than these overpairs

      - Gerv
    • vuckom1
      vuckom1
      Bronze
      Joined: 20.04.2011 Posts: 114
      Is his range wider when he raises IP? Are people more inclined to (semi)bluff raise IP so we can shove then?
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by FunkyD0nkey
      Is his range wider when he raises IP? Are people more inclined to (semi)bluff raise IP so we can shove then?
      No it is threeway and he is a nit so I don't think he is raising nakedflushdraws versus you