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[NL2-NL10] NL10 - MSS, 88 in MP2

    • BadeaCelRau
      BadeaCelRau
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.10.2010 Posts: 2,122
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG1:
      $2.92
      UTG2:
      $2.70
      MP1:
      $10.00
      MP2 (Hero):
      $4.31
      MP3:
      $10.63
      CO:
      $9.84
      BU:
      $10.14
      SB:
      $23.05
      BB:
      $3.00


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 8, 8.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, BU calls $0.40, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.95) 3, K, K (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.50, BU calls $0.50.

      Turn: ($1.95) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.10, BU calls $1.10.

      River: ($4.15) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.97, BU folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $4.15.

      Villain stats in 27 hands :
      52(vpip)/15(pfr)/13(3b)/-/50(steal)
      33(cbet)/0(fcbet)/0(f 2nd)/36(wtsd)/1.2(af)

      Mandatory cbet, mandatory double barrel but how would you play the river? It's so risky :( . Should I just check/fold for less variance? I'm not sure if he is able to lay down something like 99, TT and from time to time he shows up a K :( .
      The problem is that if I check, he will surely bet and bluff me out of the pot. If I had a K I would just bet,bet,bet so it's pretty obvious that I don't have one here, Is it worth balancing my line against similar opponents and check/raise river when I DO hold a K and think they might try to bluff me out (I'm 100% sure this guy would so that's why I bet)?
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      Your cBets just makes this hand really awkard to play against a fish OOP. If you just bomb the Flop , you can shove this Turn or check/call

      The river I would check/call if you think he bluffs on the River otherwise I just check/fold. Betting the River against a 55/x player is just plainly bluffing and I doubt he folds 99+

      - Gerv