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[NL20-NL50] [SH] Rush NL50 AA on draw heavy board

    • VTomukas
      Joined: 30.12.2007 Posts: 252
      Villain 22/16/1.3 after 418 hands.

      Fold to flop cbet - 31% (4/13). Another stat, that is could be useful there, even if the situation is different - his c/raise flop stat is 38,5%

      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $50.25
      SB: $51.15
      BB: $54.10
      Hero (UTG): $105.40
      MP: $76.70
      CO: $64.10

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has A:diamond: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $1.75, fold, CO calls $1.75, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: ($4.25, 2 players) 9:spade: T:heart: 4:spade:
      Hero bets $2.50, CO raises to $8.50, Hero calls $6.00

      Turn: ($21.25, 2 players) 8:heart:
      Hero checks, CO bets $16.50, fold

      CO wins $20.20

      Guess I needed to 3bet/stackoff this flop because of it being such a draw heavy. So I admit my possible mistake there. Also if I plan to c/f the turn better fold right now?

      But what to do after a turn? Too bad, QJ just got there. Many combo draws now possible too. C/fold is OK, or knowing his stats against the cbets I should still stackoff? To be fair, I didn't like his bet sizes - seemed like a protection from possible draws with smth like set/2 pairs.
  • 2 replies
    • StaticMoth
      Joined: 22.05.2009 Posts: 2,642
      Solid sample, insane c/r % and very low fold to cbet.

      I would deffo 3bet this guy on the flop.

      As played, I like the turn fold.

      Too many two pair+ hands, stacking off would be rly rly ugly on such a board and we can't really call either coz we're gonna end up folding anyway on waaay too many rivers.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Since I don´t really see him raising flop adn stacking off smt like AT I woudl also just b/c flop and then c/rai any none flush card
      He ios just messing around too often and AA is too good hand to fold on quite safe turn card