# [NL2-NL10] AKs vs. tight opponent, MSS NL4

• Platinum
Joined: 04.01.2011
Known players:
Position:
Stack
SB:
\$4,26
Hero:
\$1,7

0,02/0,04 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A , K
UTG2 folds, Hero raises to \$0,16, 4 folds, SB raises to \$0,48, BB folds, Hero raises to \$1,70 (All-In), SB calls \$1,22.

Flop: (\$3,44) J , 8 , 3
Turn: (\$3,44) 9
River: (\$3,44) 9 (2 players)

Final Pot: \$3,44

SB shows two-pair, kings and nines (Ks Kc)

SB wins with two-pair, kings and nines (Ks Kc)

Sup.

My opponent was tight, put him on QQ+, AK, maybe JJ. I was thinking about folding AKs pre even though SHC says to shove, but then I asked myself what am I playing? Just aces?

While reviewing I tried to do a little of math. Against his range QQ+, AK my equity is 41,90%. I considered he never folds after I shove, so with EV=0 my equity has to be 44,76% if my calculations are right.

So is it fine to fold? This is a very fishy question, I know. Thank you
• 3 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 07.05.2008
Hey,

The pot odds you get are 1.86:1.54 so roughly 1.59:1 = 40%

However I think your AKs is too good to fold + you still get have some FEQ in case he is bluff3betting. It's not much but it adds up in your EV math wise

I give him TT+ or JJ+ with AK so you are fine

Best regards,
Gerv
• Bronze
Joined: 26.05.2010
Hey Gerv,

Excuse the ignorance but could you please explain the figure for pot odds you gave in your calculations - where do the 1.86 & 1.54 come from please? In fact if you could just break down the whole equation I would appreciate it - soz for asking feel like a bit of a mong tbh

Thanks,

AKM
• Bronze
Joined: 07.05.2008