[NL20-NL50] NL25 Rush (Middle Set)

    • keithbrad
      Joined: 22.08.2010 Posts: 33
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $24.40
      UTG: $11.25
      MP: $31.08
      CO: $48.14
      BTN: $25.00
      Hero (SB): $46.85

      Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has 8:diamond: 8:spade:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.50, fold, Hero calls $0.40, fold

      Flop: ($1.25, 2 players) A:diamond: 7:spade: 8:club:
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn: ($2.25, 2 players) 4:spade:
      Hero bets $1.50, CO raises to $3.00, Hero calls $1.50

      River: ($8.25, 2 players) J:heart:
      Hero checks, CO bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      preflop: OOP so I called to set mine

      Flop: hit middle set and decided to slow play it, hoping he had some sort of ace or two pair

      Turn: decided to donk because now there is FD possibilities and a pair of aces plus FD (didn't want to give a free card), at this point only 56 and AA are ahead, he min raised me which definitely threw me off a little.

      River: 910s and JJ are now beating me but at this point I know I'm either way ahead or way behind, I didn't really want to bet again in case I get raised so I decided to check call. This way it's possible that he could bet a hand that he would have folded if I had bet.

      I also had only 27 hands on the villian so stats weren't helping me in this hand.
  • 2 replies
    • ragney
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Raise the damn flop, if he has an Ace he won't fold. If he has 99-KK you won't get much value from him later.

      Than we bet the turn for value+protection, bigger pot = bigger bet size = more value.

      How horrible can your river prediction be? We're damn ahead over 50% time vs his range. Bet/call or bet/fold to overshove since we're abit deep.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      56 would also beat you
      Since you´re deep I think I´d played the same way- maybe consider c/r river and fold to shove since he would not shove there worse hands
      He would likely not raise turn with AJ, so you´re likely either against two pair+ or some bluff so I don´t mind keeping pot small, since you´re deep