[NL2-NL10] NL5 99, flopped a set

    • feketepok
      Joined: 25.09.2010 Posts: 56
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5)
      BB ($2)
      Hero ($5.02)
      UTG+1 ($3.96)
      UTG+2 ($4.24)
      MP1 ($7.42)
      CO ($5)
      BTN ($1.57)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.17, UTG+1 calls $0.17, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.41) J:spade: 7:spade: 9:club:

      Hero bets $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25

      TURN ($0.91) J:spade: 7:spade: 9:club: 4:club:

      Hero bets $0.65, UTG+1 calls $0.65

      RIVER ($2.21) J:spade: 7:spade: 9:club: 4:club: 5:club:

      Hero bets $1.30, UTG+1 raises to $2.89 (AI), Hero calls $1.59


      Villain goes all-in on the river - I didn't think it was likely that he beats me, so I called. A straight with T8 is not likely given his calls - and why would he play that hand anyway. The other thing that beats me is a backdoor flush draw completed on the river. His stats: 39/3 with AF 1.0. Given that, it is not likely that he is bluffing on the river... So what is the right answer here?
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