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[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH AQs, Flop flusdhdraw + gutshot + 2nd pair

    • Alleen86
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 5,334

      Is it ok to go all in on the flop in this situation? Or is it better to call the flop and reevaluate the turn and river?

      BB: 22/13/15/3.9/2.0/554 (VPIP/PFR/DB/3B/AF/H)

      $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($1.11)
      UTG+1 ($1.18)
      Alleen86 (CO) ($5.45)
      BTN ($1)
      SB ($4.96)
      BB ($7.83)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.06, 6 players) Alleen86 is CO A:heart: Q:heart:
      2 folds, Alleen86 raises to $0.16, 2 folds, BB calls $0.12

      Flop: Q:club: 10:heart: K:heart: ($0.34, 2 players)
      BB bets $0.34, Alleen86 raises to $0.96, BB goes all-in $7.67, Alleen86 goes all-in $4.33

      Turn: Q:diamond: ($13.30, 2 players, 2 all-in)

      River: 5:diamond: ($13.30, 2 players, 2 all-in)

      Final Pot: $13.30
      Alleen86 shows
      A:heart: Q:heart:
      BB shows
      A:diamond: J:spade:

      BB wins $12.58 (net +$4.71)

      Alleen86 lost $5.45
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Alleen86,

      Guess it shouldn't be that huge mistake to go broke here, we likely even have fold equity vs his line. Seems to be somewhat aggressive as well and our equity ain't that bad either:

      Board: Q:club: T:heart: K:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    51.57%  49.75%   1.81% { QQ, TT, AKs, AJs, KTs+, QTs, J9s, AKo, AJo, KTo+, QTo }
      UTG+1  48.43%  46.62%   1.81% { AhQh }

      Even against just AJo we don't have that bad equity:

      Board: Q:club: T:heart: K:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    58.33%  54.24%   4.09% { AJo }
      UTG+1  41.67%  37.58%   4.09% { AhQh }

      So perfectly fine to go broke with such a hand if you don't want to avoid the variance. :P One option of course would be to Call and play further streets as well, which I would even pick sometimes.

      Best regards.