[NL2-NL10] ATo NL5 FR

    • Rhymenoceros
      Joined: 27.04.2010 Posts: 97
      Villain = 16/8/2/21/108 hands (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD)

      When Villain check raises the flop although I had no stats for his check raise % I thought it was unlikely that he check raises the flop w/ better than TPTK here. I didn't think it was very likely that limp calls pre w/ JJ+ or 2X, despite him being Tight and passive(ish) - AF of 2 isnt that aggressive for FR is it? At this point I put my opponent on weaker TX or small pair 22-TT

      Since I was IP i thought that I should call one time and re-evaluate on the turn. Although the turn brings some draws I am not too scared about checking behind because I figure I am way ahead of smalls pairs and weaker TX or way behind 2X and TT/88 and maybe a slowplayed JJ+.

      My plan was to just check/fold turn and river to big bets especially if the board develops badly. He bets .70 on the river giving me 5:1 so I felt like he could show up with TX sometimes and I get to see what he's check raising the flop with and I dont have to be right that often to make it profitable only 1 in 6 times and I only need 14% equity against his range.

      Which I guess is something like this:

      Board: 2d2hTc8h6s
      Equity Win Tie
      MP3 18.29% 16.57% 1.71% { 22+, A7s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+ }
      CO 81.71% 80.00% 1.71% { AcTs }

      PokerStars - $0.05 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $5.61
      MP+1: $6.17
      Hero (CO): $6.20
      BTN: $2.23
      SB: $2.08
      BB: $4.94
      UTG: $2.07
      UTG+1: $2.95

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has T:spade: A:club:

      fold, fold, MP calls $0.05, MP+1 calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.25

      Flop: ($0.72, 2 players) T:club: 2:heart: 2:diamond:
      MP+1 checks, Hero bets $0.52, MP+1 raises to $1.04, Hero calls $0.52

      Turn: ($2.80, 2 players) 8:heart:
      MP+1 checks, Hero checks

      River: ($2.80, 2 players) 6:spade:
      MP+1 bets $0.70, Hero calls $0.70

      MP+1 shows 2:spade: 2:club: (Four of a Kind, Twos)
      Hero mucks T:spade: A:club: (Two Pair, Tens and Twos)
      MP+1 wins $4.00
  • 1 reply
    • Adapter1337
      Joined: 17.01.2010 Posts: 734
      Nice hand, I play this exactly the same way, the only valuehands that he has, are 22/TT, what is not very likely; and often he's often slowplaying with these.
      Flop I call because it's a paired board, microstakes regulars love to bluff a lot these boards.