Variance or just being rubbish?

    • w0rm24
      w0rm24
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 62
      I've recently started playing some SH NL2 on stars and I seem to be getting a bit demolished. Over 532 hands, I'm down $15 which to me seems like an awful lot. Admittedly some of that is down to a few massive suckouts against me on the river which probably then leads me to playing like a bit of an idiot and losing even more.

      I think 532 hands is a pretty small sample though so variance could have a pretty big effect, especially in SH games. Should I put my bad run down to variance and keep playing for a bit to see how things pan out or should I limit the damage and go play FR games instead, even though I find them a bit boring? :(
  • 7 replies
    • IflopMonsters
      IflopMonsters
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.12.2010 Posts: 28
      I would suggest switching to fullring and reading all the basic and bronze articles before you play another hand, your loss rate is brutal and although it could be down to variance, it is very likely that it isnt :)

      Try playing 24 tables then you can say its boring :D
    • w0rm24
      w0rm24
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 62
      Yeah, as much as I would like to believe it's all down to variance, I'm pretty sure I've just been really spewy post-flop. Looking at my stats on HEM as well, I can see that I cbet waaaaaay too much and I'm not very good at just giving it up, especially when I cbet with air and I'm in a hand with a fish I think I should be beating. Turns out I might have been the fish all along lol :f_cry:
    • sapheal
      sapheal
      Global
      Joined: 23.02.2008 Posts: 1,015
      w0rm24 :s_love:

      Most likely it's just bad play. Changing the game is not the best way to handle this problem. I think you should post your hands in our hand evaluation forums.

      Good luck.

      Cheers,
      Michal
    • bmfbpi
      bmfbpi
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.09.2008 Posts: 590
      7.5 buyins in 532 hands is more likely bad play. Post hands
    • w0rm24
      w0rm24
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 62
      Ok, I'll try and post a couple of hands from every session in future. Also, NL2 on stars lets you buy in for $5, which I automatically do cause I assume that having the maximum buy in is best but everyone else at the tables seem to buy in for $2-3 dollars so I'm always the largest stack at the table. Does that put me at a disadvantage at all? Should I start only buying in for 100BB?
    • sapheal
      sapheal
      Global
      Joined: 23.02.2008 Posts: 1,015
      Originally posted by w0rm24
      Ok, I'll try and post a couple of hands from every session in future. Also, NL2 on stars lets you buy in for $5, which I automatically do cause I assume that having the maximum buy in is best but everyone else at the tables seem to buy in for $2-3 dollars so I'm always the largest stack at the table. Does that put me at a disadvantage at all? Should I start only buying in for 100BB?
      hi w0rm24 :s_love: ,
      At first you should start to buyin for 100BB, exactly. Of course, the most important thing is to improve your game. Just because you buy-in for 100BB won't make you a winning player.

      Cheers,
      Michal
    • w0rm24
      w0rm24
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 62
      If only that's all it took to make you good at poker :f_p: