[NL2-NL10] Q8 nl10

    • deivid2
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.35)
      Hero ($9.70)
      UTG ($10.14)
      CO ($12.68)
      BTN ($3.83)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: 8:club:

      UTG calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

      FLOP ($0.25) J:club: 5:club: T:heart:

      Hero bets $0.20, UTG calls $0.20

      TURN ($0.65) J:club: 5:club: T:heart: 6:club:

      Hero bets $0.40, UTG calls $0.40

      RIVER ($1.45) J:club: 5:club: T:heart: 6:club: 4:heart:

      Hero bets $1.30, UTG raises to $5.35, Hero calls $4.05


      F,T stand
      R: i have flush, what me beat only cooler flush... so i call and cry.

      How many times you expect he rasie me 5x and bluff??
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      I'd actually bet the turn bigger ~$0,55. And as played on river, he will never bluff there so basically it's up to the flush most likely. Don't even think that he would do such a raise with sets. Now is the question what kind of flushes he may have in his range? While he did even limp preflop then he will definitely even have weaker SCs in his range and not only Kx or Ax flushes.

      So for conclusion if we add some SCs and etc hands, I came up to such a range:

      Board: J:club: 5:club: T:heart:  6:club:  4:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    87.50%  87.50%   0.00% { KcJc, AcTc, KcTc, Ac9c, Kc9c, Tc9c, Ac6c, 7c6c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
      UTG+1  12.50%  12.50%   0.00% { Qc8c }

      And therefore it should be actually a fold on river vs such a huge raise. I can't really see being a lot of hands.

      Best regards.