[NL20-NL50] NL25 KK din SB

    • ACi0coiu
      ACi0coiu
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.05.2010 Posts: 3,517
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1365642
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BB: $2.00 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 29, 3B: 25, AF: Infinity, Hands: 7
      UTG: $16.97 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 4, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 25
      MP: $47.30 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 13
      CO: $46.12 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: NaN, Hands: 8
      BTN: $25.00 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 15, 3B: 0, AF: NaN, Hands: 27
      Hero (SB): $25.90 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 4, AF: 3.6, Hands: 120022

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with K :diamond: K :club:
      1 fold, MP raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $1.75 all in, MP calls $2

      Flop: ($8.00) Q :heart: 5 :club: 9 :diamond: (3 players - 1 is all in)
      Hero bets $4.90, MP calls $4.90

      Turn: ($17.80) J :spade: (3 players - 1 is all in)
      Hero checks, MP checks

      River: ($17.80) 6 :diamond: (3 players - 1 is all in)
      Hero bets $18.00, MP calls $18

      UTG seems to be tight passive.
      I have in mind two plays vs his range:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 72.28% 71.58% 0.70% KK
      MP3 27.72% 27.03% 0.70% 77+, ATs+, KQs, ATo+, KQo .

      If we just call, we keep all this cards in range and when he hits something like TPTP (Jxx for e.g.), we'll take a large amount of money. The problem is that we have to play it more caution, but I think that won't be a problem since he's passive and at the smallest aggression sign we can fold.

      If we 3bet, his calling range will be:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 79.47% 79.22% 0.25% KK
      MP3 20.53% 20.28% 0.25% QQ-JJ, AKs .

      With this play, he probably will be putting all his money on the table with overp.

      I prefer just calling vs. this type of player and I'd like another oppinion.
      At this play, my play on the river was horrible, because he's having QQ,JJ almost all the time.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      you´re not going to c/f turn and at the same time there are so many pair+draw type hands that would call your turn shove, so instead of c/rai or c/c turn I´d prefer shoving turn and expect to get called by worse hands
      River shove should be standard