This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

Calculating Fold Equity?

    • sigauli
      sigauli
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.04.2010 Posts: 91
      I need to figure this out so I can more effectively review my semibluff plays.

      So I take this formula from the Poker Glossary

      EV(Bet) = 20% * Payoff(B calls and A wins the showdown) + 10% * Payoff(B folds)+ 70% * Payoff(B calls and A loses showdown)


      And try to adjust it for my example.

      I am on the flop and going to try a semibluff c/r OOP. Pot is 5.5$ after Villain cbet. I am going to invest 2$, if I get called my equity is going to be 38,12%. I have to find out how much fold equity I need for my semibluff to be breakeven.

      EV(0)=38% * 6.5$ + x% * 5.5$ + (62% - x)(-2$)
      EV(0)=2.47 + 0.055x - 1.38 + 2x
      EV(0)= 1.09 + 2.055x
      2.055x= -1.09
      x= -0.5304
      Does this mean I need 53% Fold Equity? It seems to high to me.
  • 1 reply