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[NL20-NL50] nl25, AQ IP in 3bet pot

    • sootedAs
      Joined: 28.10.2010 Posts: 76
      Villain is 18/14, AF 5.0, Agg% 26, 3bet 8.9 over 134 hands

      I'm really not sure about the call preflop and the stack off...

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($65.80)
      BB ($30.65)
      CO ($30.50)
      Hero ($25.40)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: A:heart:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.65, SB raises to $2.20, fold, Hero calls $1.55

      FLOP ($4.65) 2:heart: 7:heart: T:heart:

      SB bets $4, Hero raises to $15, SB raises to $49.65, Hero calls $8.20 (AI)

      TURN ($51.05) 2:heart: 7:heart: T:heart: J:diamond:

      RIVER ($51.05) 2:heart: 7:heart: T:heart: J:diamond: K:spade:
  • 2 replies
    • Adapter1337
      Joined: 17.01.2010 Posts: 734
      Since his 3b seems to be very high, is pf all ok!
      He bet the Flop very big, so I presume that we don't have much fold equity, but to fold here also don't like, 'cause we have a very strong equity against every hand, probably I'll also raise big and stack off.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello sootedAs,

      What kind of opponent do you expect him to be? What about his WTSD? Do you think he is capable of folding overpair here? Any kind of reads on his bet sizes? Since it seems that near pot it indicates to a strong hand. And basically if you want to get it in there:

      Board: 2:heart: 7:heart: T:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    54.56%  54.56%   0.00% { JJ+ }
      UTG+1  45.44%  45.44%   0.00% { AhQc }

      So we ain't doing that bad even if we get it in. We need ~43% equity so it's basically a flip while we might even get some fold equity.

      Best regards.