[NL2-NL10] NL10 bluff with K8 on the river

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($15.27)
      BB ($13.01)
      UTG ($11.65)
      CO ($10)
      BTN ($13.08)

      Dealt to Hero 8:heart: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.60) Q:heart: A:club: J:spade:

      Hero bets $0.40, BB raises to $1.30, Hero calls $0.90

      TURN ($3.20) Q:heart: A:club: J:spade: 3:club:

      Hero checks, BB bets $2.10, Hero calls $2.10

      RIVER ($7.40) Q:heart: A:club: J:spade: 3:club: 6:diamond:

      Hero bets $2.40, BB raises to $5.90, Hero folds

      BB wins $11.59

      fold vs steal in bb 88
      fold to cbet 50
      raise cbet 23
      WTSD 26
      1000 hands

      I had a note that he raises flop, then bets 2/3 on turn, and folds on the river to a 1/3 pot bet. So I called flop and turn with the intention to bluff on the river, plus the gutshot draw.

      The problem is there that his WTSD is not that small, so maybe I had not to take such risk. Or if risking, then bet more on the river?

      Edit: and the board sucks actually now I think, because there is an ace in his range often acorrding to he fold vs steal statistics. Guess I played bad :)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      Why not just donk the turn rather than river? You are just paying him more money in case he even does have a hand.

      And if you even having such players on blinds then rather just fold the hand preflop and mostly continue with made hands on flop.

      Best regards.