[NL2-NL10] Nl4 Fr - top set with KK with heavy board

    • faronel
      faronel
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2011 Posts: 1,186
      PartyGaming - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      LP: $5.00
      CO: $5.38
      BTN: $5.00
      SB: $7.56
      BB: $3.73
      UTG: $3.74
      UTG+1: $1.96
      MP: $7.38
      Hero (MP+1): $5.75

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has K:club: K:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.04, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.16, UTG calls $0.16

      Flop: ($0.62, 3 players) Q:heart: J:spade: K:spade:
      BB bets $0.13, UTG raises to $0.98,

      No information about villains involved in this hand. Big blind could have been donk betting to see where he was standing with top pair/flush draw. The UTG player got me concerned, he could have any suited broadway (thus two pairs), lower set, or protecting a made straight without flush draw... The main question here: is moving allin the right move here, considering UTGs relatively small stack?

      The way the hand was continued:
      Hero raises to $2.74, fold, UTG raises to $3.54 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.80

      Turn: ($7.83, 2 players) A:diamond:

      River: ($7.83, 2 players) A:club:
      Hero shows K:club: K:diamond: (Full House, Kings full of Aces) UTG shows T:club: 9:club: (Straight, Ace High) Hero wins $7.44
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello faronel,

      Made just a small calculation but we could even widen the range of those players. And even with those ranges we are getting very good equity:

      Board: K:spade: J:spade: Q:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    32.60%  29.05%   3.55% { ATs, KJs+, QJs, T9s, ATo, KJo+, QJo, T9o }
      MP1    43.89%  43.51%   0.38% { KdKc }
      BB     23.51%  19.96%   3.55% { KTs, JhTh, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, KTo }

      So for that reason I am as well going broke. Although I don't think that UTG has a lot of sets in his range while he would raise with JJ/QQ unless you have any other stats on him.

      Best regards.