[NL2-NL10] AQ nl10 RR

    • deivid2
      deivid2
      Global
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($19.65)
      BB ($18.20)
      UTG ($7.20)
      UTG+1 ($35.41)
      CO ($9.45)
      Hero ($58.29)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: A:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $1, fold, Hero calls $1, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.40) 2:diamond: J:heart: 8:spade:

      UTG+1 bets $1.55, Hero calls $1.55

      TURN ($5.50) 2:diamond: J:heart: 8:spade: T:club:

      UTG+1 bets $2.45, Hero raises to $7, UTG+1 calls $4.55

      RIVER ($19.50) 2:diamond: J:heart: 8:spade: T:club: Q:club:

      UTG+1 checks, Hero checks



      18/13/2.0 83hands

      PRE: I don't 3b this hand two reason. I don't do that for value becosue i don't have image and he don't look loose player and the BB is fish so i want keep him the pot.

      F: I think calling here vs his c-bet is stand i have two OC+BSD and he c-bet here almost always.

      T: here i think my play is not optimal.
      1) i RR here becsoue i get more outs and i can easy rep SET, JT but....
      -if he barrel this board how often he fold his hand? i think my RR is make sense only if i RR here and shove many River beocuse he usually don't fold TPGK here but he can't call River. - but this is micro people do random thinks so i not sure my river shoves is good play so i don't know i do that here so i think RR here is bad play if i am not sure i shove blank river.
      -My sizes look weak but this is good for me becosue he don't get good pot odds river if i shoves but i think 9-10$ better sizesz.
      2) his sizes bet i get pot odds call usually i must be good 24%

      MP2 77.75% 76.79% 0.96% TT+, 88, 22, AKs, AJs, KJs, QJs, AJo, KJo, QJo
      MP3 22.25% 21.29% 0.96% AsQh

      marginal but i think he often with SET bet more. So he often has here TPGK.

      What do you think?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      Guess I'd still raise a bit bigger ~$8-9 and definitely the line is considerable. The player doesn't look like a station either. But now again if the river is blank we often times have to consider shipping it rather than Checking behind. Since most of the time if he is going to Call the turn he will most often be weak and which is very likely the case here as well.

      And as played nothing much to add, we don't have to turn our hand into bluff while even hitting TP.

      Best regards.