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[NL2-NL10] Ak Nl10

    • deivid2
      Joined: 23.05.2009 Posts: 6,366
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($12.62)
      BB ($11.30)
      UTG ($11.92)
      UTG+1 ($21.10)
      CO ($9.35)
      BTN ($4.85)

      Dealt to Hero A:heart: K:spade:

      UTG raises to $0.20, UTG+1 calls $0.20, fold, BTN calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1.10, fold, UTG calls $0.90, fold, fold

      FLOP ($2.70) T:spade: T:heart: Q:heart:

      Hero bets $1.40, UTG raises to $2.80, Hero calls $1.40

      TURN ($8.30) T:spade: T:heart: Q:heart: T:diamond:

      Hero checks, UTG bets $2.25, Hero folds

      UTG wins $7.76

      39/34/2.8 41HANDS

      F: I decied c-bet becsoue i have outs and he should fold here PP i get minRR i love get minrasie (love that) so i call and to hit my outs i miss all so easy fold.

      Board: Q:heart: T:heart: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    79.76%  79.34%   0.43% { QQ, AQs, ATs, KQs, KTs, QTs+, JTs, AQo, ATo, KQo, KTo, QTo+, JTo }
      MP3    20.24%  19.81%   0.43% { AhKs }

      flop i get pot odds 17% so my call flop is EV+ play i think

      Board: Q:heart: T:heart: T:spade:  T:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    91.48%  90.37%   1.11% { QQ, AQs, ATs, KQs, KTs, QTs+, JTs, AQo, ATo, KQo, KTo, QTo+, JTo }
      MP3     8.52%   7.41%   1.11% { AhKs }

      so i can call becsoue i can be drawing dead.
  • 2 replies
    • johnbeattie85
      Joined: 11.09.2008 Posts: 716
      Flop: Even with outs, I would be cautious cbetting here - since this board hits 3bet calling ranges pretty hard. You are showing a lot of strength pre, he can ether have:

      A) A tight calling range
      B) A tight calling range + pairs and good suited stuff expecting a multi-way pot

      (A) is super -EV to bet. (B) ranges from marginal to good depending on the exact stuff he calls with pre. I would tend not to bet.

      Turn: You only have 20% equity if you see 2 cards. Since you are OOP without initiative, you will rarely realise this equity. Either go all in if you think he's bluffing or fold.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello deivid2,

      Of course squeezing is perfect here but I don't like the CBet. Rather just Check it and hope to see a free card. The problem with CBetting is that most of his Calling range hit since he will most likely have broadways in his calling range. Preflop raise wasn't that small either that it gave him a good opportunity to Call with any other crap and we don't even know him how he does play.

      Best regards.