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[NL2-NL10] nl2 99 OESD

    • joeldowey123
      Joined: 09.06.2010 Posts: 961
      while his check raise does look strong, like some sort of set, we are being given 2:1pot odds to call, and he is even short stack, so to me i think i have to call....against a full stack this c/r would be folded i think.

      I'm not sure about this one when i look back on it

      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 7 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Hero (MP): $3.61
      CO: $1.93
      BTN: $2.15
      SB: $2.00
      BB: $0.90
      UTG: $2.46
      UTG+1: $1.93

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 9:club: 9:diamond:

      UTG raises to $0.08, fold, Hero calls $0.08, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.06

      Flop: ($0.25, 3 players) 8:heart: T:spade: 7:heart:
      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $0.18, BB raises to $0.82 and is all-in, fold, Hero calls $0.64

      Turn: ($1.89, 2 players) 6:club:

      River: ($1.89, 2 players) 7:diamond:

      Hero shows 9:club: 9:diamond: (Straight, Ten High) (Pre 67%, Flop 56%, Turn 78%)
      BB mucks A:heart: 2:heart: (One Pair, Sevens) (Pre 33%, Flop 44%, Turn 22%)
      Hero wins $1.80
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello joeldowey123,

      We need ~34% equity there and lets say against something like this:

      Board: 8:heart: T:spade: 7:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    32.54%  30.21%   2.33% { 9d9c }
      UTG+1  67.46%  65.13%   2.33% { TT, 88-77, ATs, KTs, QTs, J9s+, T9s, 96s, 87s, AhJh, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, ATo, KTo, QTo, J9o+, T9o, 87o }

      We ain't getting it that easily. Of course we could add as well even worse hands/worse pairs but most likely it's at the best a flip. Myself I'd be even inclined to fold.

      Best regards.