[NL2-NL10] Nl5 Sh 55

    • koosMaras
      koosMaras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.08.2010 Posts: 440
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.36)
      Hero ($5.04)
      UTG ($4.71) 33/4/more passive/55 hands
      CO ($16.78)
      BTN ($6.97)

      Dealt to Hero 5:spade: 5:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.05, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.25, UTG calls $0.20

      FLOP ($0.52) A:club: 3:club: 5:club:

      Hero bets $0.45, UTG raises to $4.46 (AI), Hero calls $4.01

      TURN ($9.44) A:club: 3:club: 5:club: 4:club:

      RIVER ($9.44) A:club: 3:club: 5:club: 4:club: 8:club:

      Would you consider folding here with bottom set? His range could here could be something like this:

      Board: Ac3c5c
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 66.50% 65.86% 0.64% { 5d5s }
      MP3 33.50% 32.87% 0.64% { 55, 33, A5s-A4s, KcQc, KcJc, QcJc, KcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Kc9c, Qc9c, Jc9c, Kc8c, Qc8c, Kc7c, AdKc, AhKc, AsKc, AdQc, AhQc, AsQc, AdJc, AhJc, AsJc, AdTc, AhTc, AsTc, Ad9c, Ah9c, As9c, Ad8c, Ah8c, As8c, Ad7c, Ah7c, As7c, Ad6c, Ah6c, As6c, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs, KcJd, KcJh, KcJs, KcTd, KcTh, KcTs, Kc9d, Kc9h, Kc9s, QdJc, QhJc, QsJc, QcJd, QcJh, QcJs, QdTc, QhTc, QsTc, QcTd, QcTh, QcTs, Qc9d, Qc9h, Qc9s, JdTc, JhTc, JsTc, JcTd, JcTh, JcTs }

      And we need ~43% of equity? Or I made a mistake in calculations?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello koosMaras,

      Nope, not really. I am going broke here as well. And it's not bottom set. :) And didn't take a look into the range since it's huge. :D But I consider him even shipping there sometimes TP+draw or whatsoever hands as well or even worse sets/2pairs.

      Best regards.
    • koosMaras
      koosMaras
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.08.2010 Posts: 440
      I know it wasn't bottom set :) . I wanted to ask would you consider folding if you had bottom set. For example, on a board: 7 5 3.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by koosMaras
      I know it wasn't bottom set :) . I wanted to ask would you consider folding if you had bottom set. For example, on a board: 7 5 3.
      With such a flop it's pretty close. I guess the safest play against a passive opponent would be even to give it up while haven't invested much into the pot. But really depends on the opponent how you see him. Very likely can even consider going broke for the reason that he may as well even have a pair+FD or whatsoever type of hand.