[NL2-NL10] NL4 FR - hero on MP2 with AQo vs loose player (preflop decision)

    • faronel
      faronel
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2011 Posts: 1,186
      PartyGaming - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $1.30
      SB: $2.53
      BB: $4.94
      UTG: $6.76
      UTG+1: $1.44
      MP: $2.21 - VPIP 29/ PFR 11/ AF 4 (small sample: 150 hands)
      Hero (MP+1): $5.23

      CO: $1.08

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

      Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has A:spade: Q:diamond:
      fold, fold, MP raises to $0.16, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      MP wins $0.10

      The MP is a fairly loose and weak player. He bought in with a full stack, lost the half with a weak hand by raising and betting, and then he has been bouncing up and down between half of his initial stack and the full stack (another note, he didnt autorebuy). I took time and used Equilab to calculate my equity against his range.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP1 34.38% 33.34% 1.04% 66-55, A8s-A2s, K9s-K5s, Q9s-Q7s, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A9o-A7o, A5o, KJo-K9o, Q9o+, J9o+
      MP2 65.62% 64.58% 1.04% AQo

      The rest of the table is tight (below 10/10 players, again with small hand sample). The main question here is, should hero isolate and re-raise the MP, or should hero call to see the flop, or as played, fold? Another question is, if hero decides to raise (lets say to 0.50) and MP goes allin (which he has done before), should be hero considering a call here?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello faronel,

      If you are in those spots going for a raise then this means as well you are planning to go broke. But as you don't want to take the flip then folding is perfectly the safest play and which I would very likely take.

      One reason why I don't like Calling in those spots is that there are so many opponents behind us and with AQ we ain't doing that great in multiway pot. But of course that doesn't mean that we couldn't Call there. Calling is perfectly fine as well and playing postflop. We still are ahead of his raising range.

      And about the equity try putting PFR into his range rather than something wider range as you did put. VPIP means how much he does Call vs your raise.

      Best regards.
    • faronel
      faronel
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.07.2011 Posts: 1,186
      I did put both VPIP and PFR in the equilab.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by faronel
      I did put both VPIP and PFR in the equilab.
      Rather just put the opponent into 11% range and then try out. :)