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[NL2-NL10] 2NL - AQo - Missed flop

    • philhellmutt
      philhellmutt
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.02.2011 Posts: 226
      Recently I've focused on improving my c-betting, and generally betting less flops. This table was very tight, and MP1 super tight. I thought this flop most likely missed his range, so a c-bet is ok here?

      If he called to set mine with 55 or 88, I'd think he's gonna SP for at least one street. But who knows?

      I think he most likely has 99-JJ, because he'd surely 3Bet QQ-AA. What are your thoughts on these ranges?

      Board: 5d 8h 8c
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 24.040% 24.04% 00.00% 4284 0.00 { AcQh }
      Hand 1: 75.960% 75.96% 00.00% 13536 0.00 { JJ-99 }

      If this range is correct, I'm screwed here... :D

      Either that, or he's simply bluffing?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.42)
      BB ($1.16)
      UTG ($5)
      UTG+1 ($2.05)
      Hero ($2.02)
      MP1 ($3.04) - 6/3/inf
      MP2 ($2.68)
      CO ($2)
      BTN ($2.31)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: A:club:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.06, MP1 calls $0.06, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.15) 5:diamond: 8:heart: 8:club:

      Hero bets $0.10, MP1 raises to $0.25, Hero folds
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello philhellmutt,

      Preflop: Raise 4xBB.
      Postflop: Against that kind of opponent rather just Check it and see the further actions. I don't think that he is going to fold a lot of hands. And most likely his range consists of a lot of PPs which we ain't gonna make to fold.

      Best regards.