[NL2-NL10] Too aggressive with JJ overpair?

    • Edukator99
      Joined: 18.07.2010 Posts: 240
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.65)
      BB ($5.31)
      UTG ($10.54)
      UTG+1 ($2.93)
      UTG+2 ($9.90)
      Hero ($9.69)
      MP2 ($11.56)
      MP3 ($13.56)
      CO ($10) 1.1K hands vp 19 pfr 3. Call open 17%
      BTN ($8.80)

      Dealt to Hero J:club: J:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, fold, CO calls $0.30, fold, SB calls $0.25, fold

      FLOP ($1) 3:diamond: 4:diamond: T:club:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.75, CO calls $0.75, SB folds

      TURN ($2.50) 3:diamond: 4:diamond: T:club: 6:heart:

      Hero bets $1.87, CO calls $1.87

      RIVER ($6.24) 3:diamond: 4:diamond: T:club: 6:heart: A:heart:

      Hero bets $3.12

      I didn't put 3 orr 4 in his range so I though pretty safe on the flop. When he called I thought I'd take it down on the turn to be honest. The 6 didn't really seem in his range either. When he called again I didn't really know what he had but I thought a pocket pair or 10. Was dreading a set... Then when the A hit I just thought me crushed or nothing so I bet.

      I'm really trying hard to change my thinking to thinking in ranges. If I put a 17% vp into Equilab with a 3% pfr (based on his call open stats) I'm a 74.98% favourite on the flop. If you could help me out with evaluating this in terms of range it would be much appreciated. :)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Edukator99,

      From what do you want to get value from on river? I'd rather be inclined to Check and then reevaluate the further actions.

      About the ranges, just try to ask yourself what kind of hands he may Call you on flop/turn? Most likely they are some TP type of hands or draws. And Tx would most likely even consider folding it on river if he ain't a huge station and therefore mostly only left some FD type of hands and even some of them got the A on river.

      Best regards.