[NL20-NL50] Going broke with the second nuts?

    • BrinkyBill
      BrinkyBill
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.12.2010 Posts: 186
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Poker Stars
      SB ($32.09)
      BB ($93.54)
      UTG ($28.85)
      Hero ($32.85)
      CO ($25.04)
      BTN ($25)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: A:heart:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.75, CO calls $0.75, fold, fold, BB calls $0.50

      FLOP ($2.35) K:spade: 3:club: K:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.25, CO folds, BB raises to $3.75, Hero raises to $12, BB raises to $92.79 (AI), Hero calls $20.10 (AI)

      TURN ($66.55) K:spade: 3:club: K:heart: 4:heart:

      RIVER ($66.55) K:spade: 3:club: K:heart: 4:heart: 5:club:

      BB shows 3:spade: 3:diamond:
      (Pre 53%, Flop 77.1%, Turn 84.1%)

      Hero shows K:diamond: A:heart:
      (Pre 47%, Flop 22.9%, Turn 15.9%)

      BB wins $64.55

      Do you think it is plus EV to go broke here? The guy had 24/18 stats over 76 hands.
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