[NL2-NL10] nl10 deep - KQs flushdraw

    • Maniatrix
      Joined: 01.11.2008 Posts: 674
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      CO: $26.73 VP:22/PFR:13/3bet:3.4/AF:1.7/WTSD:29/W$SD:51/Cbet:60/WTSD:29/W$SD:51/Hands:1k
      BTN: $21.29
      SB: $10.00
      BB: $18.93
      UTG: $23.94
      Hero (UTG+1): $25.97
      MP: $20.12
      MP+1: $18.60

      SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10, CO posts ante $0.02, BTN posts ante $0.02, SB posts ante $0.02, BB posts ante $0.02, UTG posts ante $0.02, Hero posts ante $0.02, MP posts ante $0.02, MP+1 posts ante $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.31) Hero has K:club: Q:club:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, CO raises to $1.55, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.15

      Flop: ($3.41, 2 players) 4:club: T:club: 3:heart:
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.15, Hero raises to $8.18, CO calls $6.03

      Turn: ($19.77, 2 players) 2:diamond:

      Was the checkraise bad on the flop?
      What would be my best option on this turn?
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Maniatrix,

      Only reason I'd consider Check/Raising here is that I at least knew that he is capable of folding an overpair in those spots. But now again as you see his WTSD value being very high I don't expect that. He will at least Call once and very likely might even Call on turn us.

      Therefore, I'd rather just Check/Call and play with the implied odds if I even would play against that kind of 3bet OOP. Usually your cards are dominated by better hands and therefore I'd even prefer just folding it preflop. As you will as well have problems to make such a player to fold.

      As played pretty marginal and most likely as usually in those spots you are going for Check/Raise on flop then you have to very often consider bet the turn as well to make him fold his overpairs. But is he capable of folding? According his WTSD I rarely doubt that. Guess I'd Check and hope to see free card while he might even do that while being pretty passive.

      Best regards.
    • Maniatrix
      Joined: 01.11.2008 Posts: 674
      I guess I overplayed it here, I think I checkraised on autopilot in this situation without paying too much attention to stats, obviously a leak.
      I ended up shoving another 160BB on the turn. He snapcalled and had aces.
      Looking at it now, I think folding KQs preflop since I'm OOP is the best option too.