[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH ATs 2nd pair + FD on drawy board vs ckeck/raise

    • moniukas
      moniukas
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.09.2010 Posts: 11
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $5.00
      MP3 (Hero):
      $11.39
      CO:
      $4.57
      BU:
      $2.10
      SB:
      $4.83


      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T, A.
      Hero raises to $0.14, 3 folds, BB calls $0.10.

      Flop: ($0.3) Q, 8, T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.22, BB raises to $0.48, Hero calls $0.26.

      Turn: ($1.26) K (2 players)
      BB bets $0.94, Hero calls $0.94.

      River: ($3.14) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks.

      Final Pot: $3.14.

      Results follow:

      Hero shows a pair of tens(Th Ah).
      BB shows a pair of queens(Ac Qs).




      Some stats of opponent (377 hands):
      VPIP 22
      PFR 18
      overall AGG 3,8; flop AGG 24,0;
      ckeck/raised flop 2 times out of 7, raised cbet 3 times out of 5
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello moniukas,

      Welcome to the NL BSS Hand Evaluation Forum! Hopefully we will see more hands from you in the future. I hope that with our help you can improve your play and as well move up the limits. We will be waiting for the next hands and till that good luck on tables!

      So basically as I do understand that his AF is HUGE on flop? Are we talking about AF? Or AFq? But overall the bet on turn really indicates to rather stronger hand. Maybe even some completed straight. Therefore, we should ask ourselves if he is capable of paying us on river if we do hit for example? What's about the opponents WTSD/W$SD? If you consider him going to pay us ~$1,60 or something similar on river then sure why not, we can even consider Calling the turn but if you rather don't think that and he ain't going to showdowns a lot then I'd even consider folding the turn.

      Best regards.
    • moniukas
      moniukas
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.09.2010 Posts: 11
      Yes, it is his AF. AFq is 48%.
      WTSD = 38%, quite high, but I think it's just because he was lucky to hit the board often (W$SD = 63%). It's hard to say if he would pay me if I hit my flush. Maybe if he has a straight.. But just maybe.
      So I think I will fold on turn next time :)