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[NL2-NL10] Kk Utg

    • VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 10,748
      I can't see that stats matter at all, since I am trying to go by the charts.
      But they are there FWIW

      My own stats at this limit, and using MSS are:
      8/8/6/4.5 (vpip/pfr/3bet/af) over 500 hands

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      SB ($14.24)
      BB ($27.18)
      Hero ($9.20)
      UTG+1 ($24.65)
      UTG+2 ($8.41) 17/2/5.6/.4 (vpip/pfr/3bet/af) in 68 hands
      MP1 ($25.02)
      CO ($25)
      BTN ($53)

      Dealt to Hero K:diamond: K:spade:

      Hero raises to $1, fold, UTG+2 calls $1, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold
      Chart says raise ==> I raise

      FLOP ($2.35) Q:spade: Q:diamond: 7:club:

      Hero bets $1.50, UTG+2 calls $1.50
      Postflop chart (Flop) says: Overpair Bet/Raise ==> I bet
      Board is making me queasy -- unless he has Q, or 77, why call?

      TURN ($5.35) Q:spade: Q:diamond: 7:club: 2:spade:
      Postflop chart (Turn) says: Overpair Bet/Raise ==> I bet
      My gut is really telling check/fold here.

      Hero bets $3, UTG+2 calls $3

      RIVER ($11.35) Q:spade: Q:diamond: 7:club: 2:spade: 4:diamond:
      New street, same story

      Hero bets $3.70 (AI), UTG+2 calls $2.91 (AI)

      Hero shows K:diamond: K:spade:
      (Pre 82%, Flop 8.6%, Turn 4.5%)

      UTG+2 shows J:heart: Q:heart:
      (Pre 18%, Flop 91.4%, Turn 95.5%)

      UTG+2 wins $15.82
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello Vorpal,

      The aim of moving up the limits is to deviate from the chart more since certain chart plays yield a lower expected value than if you know that this person plays pretty tight etc.etc.

      In this examply he plays 17/2, not really a competent player since he calls way too much.

      In this hand example where you play MSS, I would bet smaller on the Turn like $2.25 so you can still lure in the pocket pairs. Yes he can have a Queen or 77 sometimes but check/calling or c/f or c/R as alternative is not +EV

      Best regards,