[NL2-NL10] NL 10 sh 89s vs 4bet

    • Supremace
      Supremace
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.10.2010 Posts: 63
      Villain stats; V:23 P:16 Wtsd:31 AF:3 3b:3.2 wwsf:59 CB:75 ats:36

      cHand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      CO:
      $20.28
      BU:
      $10.31
      SB:
      $21.02
      BB (Hero):
      $10.00
      MP3:
      $6.05


      Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, 9.
      3 folds, SB raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.00, SB raises to $2.05, Hero calls $1.00.

      Flop: ($4) 9, A, 7 (2 players)
      SB bets $2.20, Hero calls $2.20.

      Turn: ($8.4) 5 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero raises to $5.80, SB calls $5.80.

      River: ($20) J (2 players)


      Final Pot: $20.


      I 3bet him PF sa a blind defense move, and when he 4 bets me even against aces I am right to call because I'm getting 3:1 on my money. The question is what play is more profitable to shove the turn or just check it. I think this player understands that i am 3 betting light in BB so his 4bet range is also wider, ATs+, AJo+, and TT+, maybe even KQs. Against that range i have around 40% equity. Does shoving generate enough fold equity to make this play +EV? Will he fold his pocket pairs lower than Aces in this spot?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Supremace,

      Preflop: If you say me how you gonna play the hand profitable postflop then I might even change my mind of Calling with such a hand. :P Or either explain what you mean by 3:1 odds.

      As played
      Postflop: Depends really what kind opponent do you expect him to be. As I see from the stats he is going to showdown a lot therefore can we even make him fold worse PPs here? Very close spot. But now again how you planning to play the hand profitable if you even ain't taking stabs on such spots? So overall we rather should take a look in your preflop play. :)

      Best regards.