[NL2-NL10] NL10 A5s

    • fractalsonfire
      Joined: 01.02.2011 Posts: 140
      Known players:

      0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:club: , 5:club:
      UTG raises to $0.25, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0.25, 4 folds, Hero calls $0.15.

      Flop: ($0.80) K:spade: , T:club: , 7:club: (3 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $0.5, MP2 folds, Hero calls $0.50.

      Turn: ($1.80) J:club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $1, Hero raises to $3.00, UTG calls $2.00.

      River: ($7.80) K:club: (2 players)
      Hero raises $4.89 (All-In), UTG calls $4.89.

      Final Pot: $17.58

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      UTG shows a full-house, sevens full of kings (7s 7d)
      Hero shows (Ac 5c)

      UTG wins with a full-house, sevens full of kings (7s 7d)

      Called since it was a 3 way pre flop. I called on the flop because i thought i would have good implied odds if i hit, if i didn't i would've just folded on the turn. So i'm wondering whether i should've just shoved on the turn? Raise to 5x the bet?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello fractalsonfire,

      Add to full stack if you playing BSS.

      Check/Shoving the turn would be a bit too strong line and we rarely will get called by a lot weaker hands. So therefore I guess your line is totally fine on turn but we just got unlucky. But rather the question is if we still are going to bet for value?

      If we expect him to go even broke here with something like AK/AQ then it shouldn't really be a huge mistake to ship it. Since we get such equity:

      Board: K:spade: T:club: 7:club:  J:club:  K:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    40.00%  40.00%   0.00% { KdKh, JdJh, JdJs, JhJs, TdTh, TdTs, ThTs, 7d7h, 7d7s, 7h7s, AdKd, AhKh, AsKs, AdQd, AhQh, AsQs, KdJd, KhJh, AdKh, AdKs, AhKd, AhKs, AsKd, AsKh, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, AsQd, AsQh, AsQc }
      UTG+1  60.00%  60.00%   0.00% { Ac5c }

      But if we take away hands like AK/AQ ones which is more likely even while the board is already 4card flush:

      Board: K:spade: T:club: 7:club:  J:club:  K:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    80.00%  80.00%   0.00% { KdKh, JdJh, JdJs, JhJs, TdTh, TdTs, ThTs, 7d7h, 7d7s, 7h7s, KdJd, KhJh, AdQc, AhQc, AsQc }
      UTG+1  20.00%  20.00%   0.00% { Ac5c }

      Then we are far behind. As we see even from his W$SD that he is very picky then I wouldn't be surprised if he would even fold AK/AQ here and rather just continue with some flush and FHs. Therefore I might even just Check it since I don't expect him to call with a lot worse here and I don't expect to bet him with worse either.

      Best regards.