[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH J7s minraise bluff on river

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,070
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.38)
      BB ($2.92)
      UTG ($9.16)
      CO ($12.88)
      Hero ($10.14)

      UTG posts $0.10

      Dealt to Hero J:spade: 7:spade:

      UTG checks, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, UTG calls $0.30

      FLOP ($0.80) 3:spade: 8:heart: 3:diamond:

      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.60, UTG calls $0.60

      TURN ($2) 3:spade: 8:heart: 3:diamond: 5:heart:

      UTG checks, Hero checks

      RIVER ($2) 3:spade: 8:heart: 3:diamond: 5:heart: 3:club:

      UTG bets $2.10, Hero raises to $4.20, UTG folds

      Hero shows J:spade: 7:spade:

      Hero wins $6.08

      21/2/1.6 fold to cbet 40 (5), 93 hands

      read: call flop, call turn, bet river pot IP on very drawy board - bluff

      this time he is OOP, but makes a potsize bet. My bluff even if it is ok, probably is marginal. But - if he has a low fullhouse, he should not make a pot size bet. So this might mean a strong fullhouse or a pure bluff, because I showed weakness on turn. He has to have bluffs at least about 50% of the time. ALso I get good info about his plays on river, so later I will be able to crush him even more :)

      BTW - this is a previous hand when he made a bluff:

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.23)
      BB ($10.10)
      Hero ($11.16)
      UTG+1 ($8.17)
      CO ($10.22)
      BTN ($8.73)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: A:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.40, UTG+1 calls $0.40, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.95) 6:diamond: 6:spade: 4:heart:

      Hero bets $0.60, UTG+1 calls $0.60

      TURN ($2.15) 6:diamond: 6:spade: 4:heart: 8:club:

      Hero bets $1.40, UTG+1 calls $1.40

      RIVER ($4.95) 6:diamond: 6:spade: 4:heart: 8:club: 7:heart:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $5.77 (AI), Hero calls $5.77

      Hero shows A:club: A:heart:
      (Pre 93%, Flop 99.6%, Turn 100.0%)

      UTG+1 shows A:diamond: Q:spade:
      (Pre 7%, Flop 0.4%, Turn 0.0%)

      Hero wins $15.67

      I called here river because he bets pot on river when I made a check and many draws completed - he should not get many calls from weak hands. Even aces are foldable here, but I called to take a note + catch a bluff.
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      The only problem is that you don't have that many hands on the opponent. Only 92 hands ain't a good example either. But overall the line is definitely considerable.

      But now lets ask this one, do you think he is capable folding any kind of PP here vs your min-raise? I mean we basically just going for a raise vs some kind of A high type of hand or something similar. None of his PP is going to fold here.

      -> One mistake of his is as well the bet size. If he really had some strong hand he would have played whole different way. Also if he had PP then he wouldn't bet like this or overbet. So he is basically representing only a the nuts. Which means your line should be totally fine.

      Best regards.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,070
      But now lets ask this one, do you think he is capable folding any kind of PP here vs your min-raise? I mean we basically just going for a raise vs some kind of A high type of hand or something similar. None of his PP is going to fold here.

      I totaly agree. If they have a fullhouse, even smallest one, no way they will fold.

      But actually he could easily catch me. What hands would I play this way on a river? :) If I am having strong hand, I am betting 1/3 - 1/2 of the pot, maybe even more, because as I said they don't like to fold fullhousess. I am not risking to give him free showdown :) So my check minraise is 100 % bluff :D