[NL2-NL10] Nl2 Sh 99

    • staktas
      Joined: 28.03.2011 Posts: 1,346
      Known players:

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 9:heart: , 9:spade:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, SB folds, BB calls $0.06.

      Flop: ($0.17) J:spade: , 9:club: , 8:heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.14, BB calls $0.14.

      Turn: ($0.45) 3:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.35, BB calls $0.35.

      River: ($1.15) 7:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks.

      Final Pot: $1.15

      I'm in position against BU, and i hit set on the flop. So i cbet and he calls. Turn brings flush draw, so i bet again for value and protection. River completes flush draw, and now any T has a straight. BB checks, his AF is very low, so i think he could even check here with straight or flush. But on the other hand he is calling station, and he can find to call with something worse. Can i have a value bet on the river?
  • 3 replies
    • cpers
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 566
      I think you should bet the river. He could be just chasing GS with JQ.
    • patszerdonk
      Joined: 19.05.2011 Posts: 834
      I think the standard answer to this is "what kind of weaker hand will call our river valuebet? NONE!!"

      But how about a thin riverbet? If we bet 20% pot size on the river, maybe a calling station will call it with any pair or even high cards (AQ, AK, KQ).
      Ofcourse we will be in though spot if Villain raises, but I think unless he is a maniac, he will only raises with Flush Nut hand.

      No pain no gain. How do you think? :D
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello staktas,

      While he may easily even play Tx hands this way as well it's pretty close. Shouldn't even be a huge mistake if you really decided to bet ~$0,40 since he will definitely Call that with TP as well while seems to be rather station guy.

      But overall of course checking behind ain't a mistake, just skipping the thin value.

      Best regards.