[NL2-NL10] NL10, QQ, no initiative; rock bets out on blank turn

    • inlovewithamsterdam
      Joined: 08.07.2009 Posts: 671
      MP1 is 10/10, AF=inf over 42 hands.

      From experience I know that in these situations (opponent checking behind the flop) weak-tight and generally weak opponents tend to value bet their underpairs (JJ,QQ in this case) and 2nd pairs (AT). Their reasoning is that 'if they don't bet the flop they ain't got top pair'.
      Then again the only type of hand I can see played like that by a rock is a set.

      Should I have made a disciplined fold on the river?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2.77)
      BB ($6)
      UTG ($10.36)
      UTG+1 ($9.48)
      UTG+2 ($9.72)
      MP1 ($10)
      MP2 ($5.30)
      CO ($3.85)
      Hero ($10)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: Q:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, MP1 raises to $0.30, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.30, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.75) K:heart: 4:spade: T:spade:

      MP1 checks, Hero checks

      TURN ($0.75) K:heart: 4:spade: T:spade: 2:club:

      MP1 bets $0.54, Hero calls $0.54

      RIVER ($1.83) K:heart: 4:spade: T:spade: 2:club: 6:club:

      MP1 bets $1.30, Hero calls $1.30

      Hero shows Q:diamond: Q:spade:
      (Pre 82%, Flop 92.4%, Turn 4.5%)

      MP1 shows 2:heart: 2:diamond:
      (Pre 18%, Flop 7.6%, Turn 95.5%)

      MP1 wins $4.22
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello inlovewithamsterdam,

      Why ain't ya betting the flop? After he Checks which is usually weakness I'd just bet myself. But as played I don't think that we beat much on river while if he really wanted to bluff then he could have done that on flop, rather has us beat. Although very interesting line, couldn't put him on 22. :D

      Best regards.