[NL2-NL10] nl5 jq 2 pair turn

    • Jim4rdo
      Jim4rdo
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.10.2010 Posts: 1,252
      Not sure what to think on this one.

      Willain is 50/27/1.9 agg over 131 hands. wtsd 26%, w$sd 73%, 11% 3bet

      I checked turn to bluff induce because I wanted to shove over the top with his short stack.

      But even vs his short stack I'm wondering if this is the right play?

      Just b/cos even though his pre flop stats are quite fishy, is he going to be willing to stack off with 1pair here at best?
      Just because unless he's doing this with AK (high 3bet% preflop i think he would have 3bet this).

      So really all I am beating is AK/AT- , but imo villain won't have it here?

      If we give him a range like

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 24.874 % 21.170 % 7.407 % 71.423 % QdJh
      Player 2: 75.126 % 71.423 % 7.407 % 21.170 % JJ, AQs-ATs, A7s, KTs, QJs, AQo-ATo, A7o, KTo, QJo


      I'm pretty crushed

      Thoughts here?

      Thanks!
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($6.83)
      BB ($7.97)
      Hero ($5.32)
      UTG+1 ($2.02)
      CO ($5)
      BTN ($2.11)

      Dealt to Hero J:heart: Q:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.20, UTG+1 calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.47) A:heart: 7:diamond: J:diamond:

      Hero bets $0.30, UTG+1 calls $0.30

      TURN ($1.07) A:heart: 7:diamond: J:diamond: Q:spade:

      Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $0.25, Hero raises to $2.45, UTG+1 calls $1.27 (AI)

      RIVER ($4.11) A:heart: 7:diamond: J:diamond: Q:spade: 2:spade:
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Jim4rdo,

      Against his stack you can easily just ship it on turn as well. While we just don't want to see Check behind with any kind of draws from him which might even happen while he ain't very aggressive.

      Best regards.
    • Meemawuk
      Meemawuk
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 758
      bump!

      How can you give him A7s and A7o but not give him A8 and A9.

      I gave him JJ+ (because I think people would make that silly turn bet with QQ and KK too),77,A7s+,A7o+.

      And I dont think he will fold and Ace here after you check the turn even though you are check-raising.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Meemawuk
      bump!

      How can you give him A7s and A7o but not give him A8 and A9.

      I gave him JJ+ (because I think people would make that silly turn bet with QQ and KK too),77,A7s+,A7o+.

      And I dont think he will fold and Ace here after you check the turn even though you are check-raising.
      What's the specific question? We ain't gonna fold vs his stack anyways here while he may easily even have pairs.