[NL2-NL10] 99 OOP vs v loose player

    • VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 10,330
      I did not give his raise much credit, so decided to call it, my thought was that with a decent flop, he would fold to a CBet -- however I did not have enough hands for that stat.

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($1.84)
      BB ($0.59)
      UTG ($1.82)
      Hero ($0.77)
      UTG+2 ($2.32)
      MP1 ($1.88)
      CO ($3.47) 42/18/9.1/1.6/33/75 vpip/pfr/3bet/af/wtsd/w$sd 38H
      BTN ($0.97)

      Dealt to Hero 9:club: 9:spade:

      UTG calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.10, fold, fold, CO raises to $0.18, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.08

      FLOP ($0.41) 5:diamond: 3:diamond: 9:heart:

      Hero bets $0.12, CO raises to $0.37, Hero raises to $0.59 (AI), CO calls $0.22
      I mis-typed my bet -- I wanted 1/2 pot now, since I had the set I no longer wanted him to fold.

      TURN ($1.59) 5:diamond: 3:diamond: 9:heart: 8:diamond:

      RIVER ($1.59) 5:diamond: 3:diamond: 9:heart: 8:diamond: J:heart:

      Hero shows 9:club: 9:spade:
      (Pre 20%, Flop 86.3%, Turn 77.3%)

      CO shows A:heart: A:diamond:
      (Pre 80%, Flop 13.7%, Turn 22.7%)

      Hero wins $1.52
      Even fish get good hands
  • 2 replies
    • MrRaupE
      Joined: 14.09.2007 Posts: 15,589
      you can't cbet the flop, because your are not the oreflopaggressor any more, so you play a donkbet

      but i don't like the call, we can't call for setvalue and we will often see a flop with overcards which we have to give up
    • PkrPlyr2k11
      Joined: 13.06.2011 Posts: 10
      His 3bet range is very wide so I wouldn't have placed him on a premium hand pre-flop.

      I actually like the donkbet line here. It does run the risk of a fold for AK, AQ (but if he had AK or AQ I doubt he would c-bet with a AF under 2- need more stats to decide) however his PF3bet + donkbet raise represents JJ+ on a board like that. The best option was to 3bet shove the flop knowing he's going broke with the call of all overpairs (90% vs 10% on the turn and river for a better set or 78% vs 22% with the flush outs on the river).

      With a fish villian in this case, I would have 4bet shipped it pre-flop.