[NL2-NL10] nl2 mss AJo

    • JohnDoe1313
      Joined: 04.01.2011 Posts: 5,035
      Known players:

      0,01/0,02 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A:heart: , J:diamond:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0,08, 3 folds, BU calls $0,08, SB folds, BB calls $0,06.

      Flop: ($0,25) T:heart: , 9:spade: , 4:spade: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks, BU checks.

      Turn: ($0,25) J:club: (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0,18, BU raises to $0,36, BB folds, Hero calls $0,18.

      River: ($0,97) J:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU raises $2,22 (All-In), Hero calls $0,36 (All-In).

      Final Pot: $3,55


      On turn I put BU on this:

      Board: T:heart: 9:spade: 4:spade:  J:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG+2  64.24%  59.63%   4.62% { AJs, KJs+, QJs, J8s+, J4s, 87s, AJo, KJo+, QJo, J8o+ }
      MP1    35.76%  31.14%   4.62% { AhJd }

      I decided to call on turn. Due to odds I have to be ahead 22%. On the river my stack was too small, didn't noticed it at the table. I wanted to let him bluff with weaker hands.

      So, should I have folded on turn or take it to showdown this way?
  • 1 reply
    • burek2000
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      Hey JohnDoe,

      Counting with only 22% equity needed is false because if you call on the turn you commit to the pot also the rest of your stack. Therefore you should count with 33.6% needed equity.

      Because of the drawy board I only see fold or shove as an option on the turn. And I would decide to fold because majority of players won't raise draws or medium strong hands, but very strong hands alone.

      Best regards,