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[NL2-NL10] nl2 JJ overpair on mono suit flop

    • feraldave
      Joined: 09.03.2009 Posts: 48
      iPoker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BTN: $4.75
      SB: $3.49
      Hero (BB): $2.00
      UTG: $9.50
      MP: $2.23
      CO: $1.00

      SB posts SB $0.01, Hero posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has J:spade: J:diamond:

      fold, MP raises to $0.08, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.22

      Flop: ($0.61, 2 players) T:heart: 4:heart: 5:heart:
      Hero bets $0.45, MP raises to $0.90, fold

      MP wins $1.41
  • 2 replies
    • BigOVERBET
      Joined: 23.11.2010 Posts: 433
      Its a bad fold there. very bad
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello feraldave,

      Preflop: Any specific reason for going for a 3bet? If you are against some tighter opponent then I don't like the 3bet at all here. But of course it's doable if you had any kind of reason for it. We can't be sure that we are doing the 3bet for value here.
      Postflop: Depends a lot on the opponent. It's hard to say what kind of line you have to take here if you even don't know the opponent. Most likely the Bet/Fold is just the safest play. For example if you even are against some FD+overcards type of hand:

      Board: T:heart: 4:heart: 5:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    52.73%  52.73%   0.00% { AhKc }
      UTG+1  47.27%  47.27%   0.00% { JdJs }

      You see you are already pretty much behind. But now again you need ~32% equity here for a break-even go-broke spot. Which you very likely even are getting but this obviously mainly depend what kind of calling range/raising range we expect the opponent to have? Could he even trap us with overpairs?

      Best regards.