[NL2-NL10] Jj Nl5 Fr

    • muel294
      muel294
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,207
      Villain 12/12 25 hands, so pretty much an unknown.

      Weird thing is JJ is a bluff catcher or ahead of TT only here.

      Pre: his range is something like 77+,ATs+,ATo+
      flop: I would assume him to c-bet his entire range on this board
      turn: I believe he only barrells w/ 88+,AhKh,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh
      River: 88+ and maybe missed draws but I dont have enough info to assume he would triple barrell AhXh

      problem is by the river I am getting 5.18:1

      E*= 1/(5.18+1) = 0.16*100 = 16% and have 22.41% equity by the river, should I still call if i cant beat anything but TT?


      Board: 5:heart: 9:spade: 3:club:  8:heart:  8:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG+1  77.59%  75.86%   1.72% { 88+ }
      BU     22.41%  20.69%   1.72% { JhJs }



      PokerStars - $0.05 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP+1: $6.87
      CO: $8.15
      Hero (BTN): $6.46
      SB: $4.99
      BB: $3.00
      UTG: $3.69
      UTG+1: $5.71
      MP: $1.86

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has J:heart: J:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.20, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.20, fold, BB calls $0.15

      Flop: ($0.62, 3 players) 9:spade: 5:heart: 3:club:
      BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.38, Hero calls $0.38, BB calls $0.38

      Turn: ($1.76, 3 players) 8:heart:
      BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $1.21, fold, UTG+1 calls $1.21

      River: ($4.18, 2 players) 8:spade:
      UTG+1 bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00

      UTG+1 shows Q:diamond: Q:club: (Two Pair, Queens and Eights)
      Hero mucks J:heart: J:spade: (Two Pair, Jacks and Eights)
      UTG+1 wins $5.89
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello muel294,

      Wouldn't say that he is CBetting all his range. Since I don't expect him CBetting with just overcards into multiway pot. Rather he would just Check them.

      Therefore usually I would Bet the turn for free showdown and if I am not getting it then rather just give it up. But now again he is just giving us so damn great odds to Call. So shouldn't be that huge problem to even make the Call if we expect him even to have some TT in his range. Don't think that he bluffs here. :) Mostly I'd Call here for note-taking.

      Best regards.