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[NL2-NL10] Nl2 Sh AJs

    • staktas
      Joined: 28.03.2011 Posts: 1,346
      Known players:

      0.01/0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: Elephant.Base 0.99 by

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A:club: , J:club:
      3 folds, BU raises to $0.07, SB calls $0.06, Hero calls $0.05.

      Flop: ($0.21) J:spade: , 9:diamond: , 3:diamond: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, BU bets $0.16, SB folds, Hero calls $0.16.

      Turn: ($0.53) 9:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $0.35, Hero calls $0.35.

      River: ($1.23) T:heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BU bets $0.5, Hero calls $0.50.

      Final Pot: $2.23

      Could i squeeze preflop? I planned to 3bet if noones cold calls, but then SB cold called.

      He could open raise with such a range:

             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    61.93%  59.95%   1.98% { AcJc }
      MP3    38.07%  36.09%   1.98% { 22+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J7s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K8o+, Q8o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o, 65o, 54o }

      I'm ahead of it, so as i said, i would 3bet if noone cold calls. I'm not sure, what SB could've called oop, but i think mostly it would be PPs and broadways.

      On the flop, i think he will cbet close to 100% his open raising range. And as his ORL is 43, it will be pretty wide.

      On turn, 9 is not very good card for 2nd barreling, so he can 2nd barrel his overpairs, top pairs, two pairs, sets, both flushdraws, oesds, maybe even pocket 8s and Ts.

      Something like this:

      Board: J:spade: 9:diamond: 3:diamond:  9:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    50.39%  47.85%   2.54% { AcJc }
      MP3    49.61%  47.07%   2.54% { 88+, 33, AJs, A9s-A7s, A3s, KJs, K9s, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, 54s, AJo, A9o, KJo, K9o, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o }

      i left some suited connectors, and suited aces, becuase of flush draws. I'm BE with this range.

      Now, river comes Th.

      I think he could bet with this range:
      Board: Js9d3d9sTh
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 30.10% 27.18% 2.91% { AcJc }
      MP3 69.90% 66.99% 2.91% { 99+, 33, AJs, A9s, KJs, K9s, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, AJo, A9o, KJo, K9o, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o, 98o }

      although, he bet very small, so maybe i could remove some full houses?

      Against this range, i'm am almost 2 to 1 underdog. So probably i should have folded, right?

      Ok, these analyses with ranges and etc. I'm still pretty new to them, so any advice, any mistake i made, are more than welcome.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello staktas,

      Preflop: Why not to squeeze? Our hand looks even stronger with squeeze and wont get called that easily. I'd go for a squeeze against those opponents.

      As played
      Postflop: While being OOP I guess I'd just fold the turn unless I expect the opponent to barrel a lot. Even according to his W$SD we see that he is winning most of the hands so he will rarely do that as pure bluff. We will just have hard time Calling the river again. But as played nothing much to add, we can't fold there anymore.

      Best regards.