[NL20-NL50] nl25 - river bluff, bet/3bet AI

    • Maniatrix
      Joined: 01.11.2008 Posts: 673
      PokerStars - $0.25 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      MP: $71.48
      MP+1: $42.18
      LP: $30.83
      CO: $118.75 13/11/AF:3.2/WTSD:25/W$SD:57/RiverCRW$SD:60/BB100:2.3
      Hero (BTN): $32.26
      SB: $71.20
      BB: $25.92
      UTG: $46.12
      UTG+1: $64.35

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25, MP posts ante $0.05, MP+1 posts ante $0.05, LP posts ante $0.05, CO posts ante $0.05, Hero posts ante $0.05, SB posts ante $0.05, BB posts ante $0.05, UTG posts ante $0.05, UTG+1 posts ante $0.05

      Pre Flop: ($0.80) Hero has A:club: Q:club:

      fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $0.25, fold, CO raises to $1.45, Hero calls $1.45, fold, fold, MP+1 calls $1.20

      Flop: ($5.15, 3 players) 9:heart: T:spade: K:diamond:
      MP+1 checks, CO checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($5.15, 3 players) 2:heart:
      MP+1 bets $2.25, CO calls $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

      River: ($11.90, 3 players) 4:club:
      MP+1 checks, CO checks, Hero bets $8.00, fold, CO raises to $16.00, Hero raises to $28.51 and is all-in, fold

      Hero wins $41.90

      What else than a bluff could his play be here? I figured no one had anything to call this bet with on the river given how the hand had played out. I think villain is thinking that is exactly what I was thinking. Or he thinks I have a top pair that I would fold to a check raise, though that makes little sense since I wouldn't fold top pair to such a weird play. If he checks the nuts second last to act on the river with little chance of any action I would just have to pay him off with top pair.
      Anyway I can't just call since he may be doing this with a small pocket pair so I shove. Ok line of thought?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Don´t see why you don´t just bet on the flop.
      I would generally not shove river, since first he have to call 12$ into 67$ pot and also your line doesn´t make any sense, so even if he turned his QQ into bluff he may still stack off.
      Most likely hand he had there Ax of hearts that can´t really call river bet. But if he really turn showdown value into bluff I guess shove is fine if you don´t think your AQ high isn´t good