[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AKs Overpair + Flushdraw

    • Alleen86
      Alleen86
      Platinum
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 4,713
      Hello!

      Is it ok to call twice there? What to do on the river?


      UTG: 20/15/100/100/100/3,0/105 (VPIP/PFR/FCB/TCB/RCB/AF/H)


      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      iPoker
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($5.93)
      UTG+1 ($28.06)
      Hero (CO) ($10)
      BTN ($13.24)
      SB ($14.90)
      BB ($19.96)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is CO A:spade: K:spade:
      UTG raises to $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds

      Flop: 2:spade: 6:heart: 3:spade: ($0.75, 2 players)
      UTG bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40

      Turn: 8:club: ($1.55, 2 players)
      UTG bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90

      River: K:diamond: ($3.35, 2 players)
      UTG bets $2, Hero goes all-in $8.40, UTG goes all-in $2.33

      Final Pot: $16.08
      Hero shows
      A:spade: K:spade:
      UTG shows
      6:diamond: 6:club:

      UTG wins $11.21 (net +$5.28)

      Hero collects $4.07 (net -$5.93)
  • 3 replies
    • Wriggers
      Wriggers
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,250
      I definitely don't think we should shove the river, as we have a relatively weak hand considering Villain has fire 3 barrels at us. On the flop i'd prefer raising his Cbet, as we have a lot of outs we can consider clean.

      I ran it through Pokerstove and gave him a range of sets, overpairs, the straight, and a few other high flush draws (QJs, 9Ts etc) and we have about 51% equity against this range. This is not the Cbetting range, this is the range for what would call/get it in on the flop in my opinion, add to that the fold equity of getting random hands out that still have a decent amount of equity against us and I think this is the best move.

      However, as played I think calling the turn is fine, as we can still believe we might have 15 clean outs (As he is cbetting with all his overpairs on the flop and continuing this aggression on most turns). But the river play should just be a call, shoving is doing nothing but isolating us against the strongest part of his range, as he can't really call with much worse.
    • Alleen86
      Alleen86
      Platinum
      Joined: 27.05.2010 Posts: 4,713
      Originally posted by Wriggers
      On the flop i'd prefer raising his Cbet, as we have a lot of outs we can consider clean.
      If he then 3bets, should I go broke? I supose yes if considering 15 clean outs. (I would maybe count 13-14 due to his position, AA, KK is much more probable, IMO)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Alleen86
      Originally posted by Wriggers
      On the flop i'd prefer raising his Cbet, as we have a lot of outs we can consider clean.
      If he then 3bets, should I go broke? I supose yes if considering 15 clean outs. (I would maybe count 13-14 due to his position, AA, KK is much more probable, IMO)
      Yeah, of course. If we are raising here then we are as well going broke. He ain't even fully stacked. :)