[NL20-NL50] 50nl KQs

    • mariaprodanova
      mariaprodanova
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.07.2010 Posts: 86
      Villain's stats are 24/18, AF 1, Agg% 33, 14.3 3bet but just 36 hands


      Is the raise on the turn bad?


      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($65.93)
      Hero ($66.20)
      CO ($20.85)
      BTN ($51)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: Q:heart:

      fold, BTN raises to $1.50, fold, Hero calls $1

      FLOP ($3.25) 9:spade: Q:spade: A:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $2, Hero calls $2

      TURN ($7.25) 9:spade: Q:spade: A:diamond: 9:club:

      Hero checks, BTN bets $4, Hero raises to $18, BTN calls $14

      RIVER ($43.25) 9:spade: Q:spade: A:diamond: 9:club: J:heart:

      Hero checks, BTN checks
  • 8 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      not that big mistake, but better is to call, unless player would b/f Ax. If you c/r turn you should shove river unless you´re going to plan c/c river to induce bet from missed draws
    • mariaprodanova
      mariaprodanova
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.07.2010 Posts: 86
      Well I thought he might fold AT/AJ or some flush draw. And I still he think he would have (unless my image was bad at the time, which I dont think was the case), but he had AT of spades so he didnt. But if I had shoved the river he would have but this play is still beyond me :)
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      yeah, no-one is going to b/f even against nit tp+nut fd on that turn. So you likely have to shove river to get him to fold Ax
    • mariaprodanova
      mariaprodanova
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.07.2010 Posts: 86
      You don't think he's folding AT if he didnt have a flush draw? Or AJ? Cause I don't feel comfortable shoving river so if you dont think it's normal to fold AT/AJ without a fd on the turn I shouldn't raise turn anymore.

      Do you think he'd fold AQ/AJ on this turn if I shove?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by mariaprodanova
      You don't think he's folding AT if he didnt have a flush draw? Or AJ? Cause I don't feel comfortable shoving river so if you dont think it's normal to fold AT/AJ without a fd on the turn I shouldn't raise turn anymore.

      Do you think he'd fold AQ/AJ on this turn if I shove?
      he would likely b/f AJ/AT and weaker Ax unless your image is terrible and if you c/r % on the turn is really high then he would call you down with these hands.
      Don´t see reason why you should overbet shove turn, he would likely call you down with two pair on the river and fold the rest
    • mariaprodanova
      mariaprodanova
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.07.2010 Posts: 86
      Originally posted by mariaprodanova


      Do you think he'd fold AQ/AJ on this river if I shove?
      I meant "river". Seems I'm a writing fish too lol
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by mariaprodanova
      Originally posted by mariaprodanova


      Do you think he'd fold AQ/AJ on this river if I shove?
      I meant "river". Seems I'm a writing fish too lol
      yeah, understood your question
      Imo he would not fold there AQ
    • mariaprodanova
      mariaprodanova
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.07.2010 Posts: 86
      Well why should I shove river then? Just to fold out Ax with a flush draw?

      Cause if he's not folding AQ to a river shove and he's folding AT/AJ on the turn if he didnt have a flush draw with it...that's all thats left - Ax with a fd. Is that enough to make a river shove profitable?