[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH, QQ on riverbet nasty board

    • YinYangS
      Joined: 09.10.2010 Posts: 1,077
      villain is 16/13 in 67 hands, 2.0AF.

      i think my bets were kinda weak. what do you think? easy river fold??

      Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1417309
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $12.24
      MP: $26.34
      CO: $13.30
      Hero (BTN): $15.52
      SB: $10.00
      BB: $9.35

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with Q :spade: Q :diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.20, 3 folds, MP calls $0.90

      Flop: ($2.85) 9 :club: 2 :heart: J :spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $1.70, MP calls $1.70

      Turn: ($6.25) T :spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $3, MP calls $3

      River: ($12.25) J :club: (2 players)
      MP bets $10, Hero???

      Hero calls $9.62 all in

      Final Pot: $31.49
      MP shows 8 :diamond: 8 :spade: (two pair, Jacks and Eights)
      Hero shows Q :spade: Q :diamond: (two pair, Queens and Jacks)
      Hero wins $29.95
      (Rake: $1.54)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello YinYangS,

      Preflop: I don't even like that much to squeeze against UTG range here who has stats of a very nitty player. The problem is that what's your plan if he 4bets you? You can practically just be far-far behind. At the best might get a coinflip. Also we are kinda deep, so therefore I expect him 4bet range be very strong. Or did you talk about MP stats here? What are the UTG stats?

      As played
      Postflop: I'd very likely bet a bit bigger on turn. This kind of bet size might easily even induce him to play like he did play. Which means he might even go for a bluff-bet. :( Since most of the hands he bets like that is the case that he is turning it into bluff. So from my view it's really towards a fold on river since we only beat a bluff there. But does he even have a lot of bluffs in his calling range which called flop & turn? Can you even expect him to have bluffs in this case?

      Best regards.