[NL2-NL10] Nl 10 fr AJ - nut flush ona paired board

    • zghrv
      zghrv
      Silver
      Joined: 17.10.2008 Posts: 400
      can I fold here?
      pot control on the turn or valuebet?

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Known players:
      UTG1:
      $3.70
      UTG2:
      $6.47
      MP1:
      $9.04
      MP2:
      $10.52
      MP3 (Hero):
      $13.52
      CO:
      $10.36
      BU:
      $10.00
      SB:
      $5.05
      BB:
      $10.00

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, A.
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, SB calls $0.35, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.9) 6, 7, Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB calls $0.60.

      Turn: ($2.1) Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.60, SB calls $1.60.

      River: ($5.3) 4 (2 players)
      SB bets $2.45, Hero calls $2.45.

      Final Pot: $10.2.
  • 2 replies
    • Jaissica
      Jaissica
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      Look at the hand without knowing the villain holds a set - which I am assuming because you are asking to find a fold.

      The villain could do this line with any Qx hand, 89, sets, smaller flushes. There is no way at all you are finding a fold to that river bet with a nut-flush.

      You have to value-bet the turn to take profit from Qx. Depending on villain stats you might ship it here if he raises. Vs unknown... still shipping it for Qx and flush-over-flush. If you lose to a full, bad luck.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello zghrv,

      For the given odds I don't think that I'd give it up myself either. While he might even donk this way with weaker flushes or even Qx hands. Therefore I'd pretty much Call him down on river rather than even raise. Since with raising we can't even be sure that we will get paid anyways.

      Best regards.