[NL2-NL10] A8s 3b bluff

    • muel294
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,205
      villain 18/17/3/17/410 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD/HANDS)
      other relevant stats:
      :spade: ATS = 38% total , 34% from BU
      :spade: fold to 3b = 94% 15/16 times
      :spade: he has never ever 4bet

      :heart: I know this may not be advisable at these limits or OOP but If I am going to do this what sort of spot and hand should we be doing this with

      for a squeeze I was under the impression that we need:
      :diamond: a Loose late position opener who can fold to a 3b
      :diamond: Loose/Passive CC'er who can fold to a 3b

      I felt the above conditions had been met and I had a hand that figured to be ahead of his opening range. It also has card removal and even if I am dominated we often both wont flop an Ace, plus I can always bet/fold flop and get away or is this too spewy?

      PokerStars - €0.05 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      CO: €5.53
      BTN: €7.13
      Hero (SB): €5.33
      BB: €4.93
      UTG: €3.08
      UTG+1: €5.00
      MP: €4.89
      MP+1: €0.74
      LP: €6.83

      Hero posts SB €0.02, BB posts BB €0.05

      Pre Flop: (€0.07) Hero has 8:club: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to €0.20, BTN calls €0.20, Hero raises to €0.82, fold, CO raises to €5.53 and is all-in, fold, fold

      CO wins €1.89
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello muel294,

      If you expect the cold-caller to be able to fold to the squeeze then it should be totally fine to even do that here. Although if he is rather station-like cold-caller then I'd be rather inclined to not go for a squeeze here.

      The problem with Bet/Folding the flop is that against what kind of opponent we gonna do that? Against the station we might have small fold equity. :(

      Best regards.