[NL2-NL10] nl10 SH 33 set against raise on turn

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($8.39)
      BB ($11.85)
      Hero ($15.32)
      UTG+1 ($10.37)
      CO ($5.02)
      BTN ($10.02)

      Dealt to Hero 3:club: 3:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.40, UTG+1 calls $0.40, fold, fold, fold, fold

      FLOP ($0.95) 3:diamond: K:diamond: 5:spade:

      Hero bets $0.70, UTG+1 calls $0.70

      TURN ($2.35) 3:diamond: K:diamond: 5:spade: 7:club:

      Hero bets $1.60, UTG+1 raises to $4.30, Hero raises to $14.22 (AI), UTG+1 calls $4.97 (AI)

      RIVER ($20.89) 3:diamond: K:diamond: 5:spade: 7:club: Q:club:

      16/12/1.7
      fold to cbet 56
      wtsd 37

      1.1K hands

      on turn after the hand I started to think that I beat only bluff. If he has Ax suited, he would raise it most of the time on flop. Of course its probably possible raise it on turn, to make it look stronger. He is not having K3, K5, K7, 53, 57, 73. He might only have 55 or 77. But even 55 should raise it on flop, to protect against draws and get calls from Kx. So there is only 77, unless he decided to make crazy bluff.

      So probably it is bet/fold.
  • 6 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      But still he is going to showdowns 37% in cases. Which means he is a huge station. Therefore he might even overplay his TP this way? Or is he rather passive with TP type of hands. You have on him 1,1k hands, should have at least some read. :P

      Best regards.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      his w$sd is 60 so I think its high? Or not?

      have some notes on him - one of them is that he can call a preflop reaise with QJ (too bad I have not written from which position) But vs steals he folds 91 % (both sb and BB).

      Have some other notes, but they are not important in this situation.

      But about overplaying TPs there is not notes.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
      his w$sd is 60 so I think its high? Or not?

      have some notes on him - one of them is that he can call a preflop reaise with QJ (too bad I have not written from which position) But vs steals he folds 91 % (both sb and BB).

      Have some other notes, but they are not important in this situation.

      But about overplaying TPs there is not notes.
      Wow? WTSD 37%? Are you sure? And W$SD 60 which is very huge I'd say. Therefore it could be very likely be that he has you beat if he really has such a W$SD.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,071
      Wow? WTSD 37%? Are you sure?


    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Sick stats. :D And he ain't even a winning player. Never seen such thing. Guess according to his stats I might even consider Bet/Fold be better since as said yourself that he doesn't have many 2pair combos anyways here which is totally true. Also what hands do you beat? If he ain't even overplaying TP and would be rather passive with them.
    • kinkink220
      kinkink220
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.10.2009 Posts: 64
      This guy looks super passive as I can see his agg frequency, and I also notice that W$SD ex small is 51 (compared to W$SD 60), which looks like a lot of checks till showdown. I'd explain his big W$SD and WTSD with his nitty range and passive play AF. I will also B/F turn...