[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH, AKs on 3bet pot

    • YinYangS
      Joined: 09.10.2010 Posts: 1,077
      Do i have enough odds to go broke here?

      i he only has overpair, i have outs for overcards, flush draw, and gutshot straight draw.

      if he has flopped a set already, i have outs for flush draw and gutshot straight draw.


      Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 3 players - View hand 1422363
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $7.48
      Hero (BB): $15.79
      BTN: $16.33

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with A :diamond: K :diamond:
      BTN raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.20, BTN calls $0.90, 1 fold

      Flop: ($2.70) 5 :diamond: 3 :diamond: 4 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.75, BTN raises to $4.78, Hero ???

      Hero raises to $14.59 all in, BTN calls $9.81

      Turn: ($31.88) Q :heart: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      River: ($31.88) J :spade: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      Final Pot: $31.88
      Hero shows A :diamond: K :diamond: (high card Ace)
      BTN shows 4 :diamond: 4 :club: (three of a kind, Fours)
      BTN wins $30.88
      (Rake: $1.00)
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Do i have enough odds to go broke here?
      - yes, your equity is very good against anything and he can always have JTs/ A6 against that you´re way ahead
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello YinYangS,

      I'd say it's pretty close. We are even 150BB deep. Do we really expect him to raise here with overpairs? What kind of opponent are we against? Against something like made sets and JJ+ we are getting decent equity. We are getting somewhat decent equity to consider even going broke here. Although can we expect the opponent to play this way his overpairs? Even weaker overpairs and overplay against our 3bet range? He must be spewing away money. :> We need ~43% equity for break-even. Against something like this:

      Board: 5:diamond: 3:diamond: 4:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    48.67%  46.84%   1.84% { AdKd }
      UTG+1  51.33%  49.49%   1.84% { JJ+, 55-33 }

      We are even getting it. Although now again I'd ask if the opponent is able to go broke here with overpairs?

      Best regards.