[NL2-NL10] TT EP too weak?

    • jdnismo
      Joined: 26.07.2010 Posts: 193
      Villain is 19/16/20.5/316 (VPIP/PFR/AF/Hands)
      3b % is high at 9.3%
      cbet % is 93% (3bet pot it is 100% but the sample is probably too low to get a good idea of this)

      IPoker Network $2.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players - View hand 1422631
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $5.20
      BB: $0.98
      UTG: $1.31
      Hero (UTG+1): $2.29
      MP1: $1.06
      MP2: $4.91
      CO: $1.97
      BTN: $2.68

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG+1 with T :heart: T :diamond:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0.08, 4 folds, SB raises to $0.24, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.16

      Flop: ($0.50) A :club: 2 :spade: A :heart: (2 players)
      SB bets $0.30, Hero folds

      Preflop: I think calling is ok here because we are IP and his 3bet range is so wide?

      Flop: Even with such a high cbet % and AF, I think it is correct to fold here? Even if he is cbetting with his whole 3bet range all we beat is 88, 99 and broadways. But his WTSD% is 18, so assuming we can fold out KK, QQ, JJ, TT, is raising a possibility? Folding just feels so weak here...

      I don't think we can call because we can expect another bet on turn from him...
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello jdnismo,

      Preflop: While he gives us that great odds then yep. We are getting 15:1 so which is totally fine to Call. :) But most likely I wouldn't continue without hitting it. Which means I wouldn't overplay my hand as overpair.
      Postflop: He may of course hold here different Ax combos and obvious even overpairs. But now again his 3bet range is a bit bigger. But if we consider him going for 2barrels very often then I'd rather fold it also on flop and let it go. His 3bet must be still strong vs UTG range.

      Best regards.