[NL2-NL10] Nl10 SH, 66 set vs possible straight

    • YinYangS
      YinYangS
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.10.2010 Posts: 1,077
      villain is 20/12 in 131 hands

      i'm beat by 45, 77, 59 and 9T. and 88 if he called an overpair like that.

      safer to fold?

      Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1423290
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      Hero (UTG): $10.35
      CO: $9.33
      BTN: $24.14
      SB: $9.70
      BB: $17.65

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with 6 :diamond: 6 :heart:
      Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, 1 fold, SB calls $0.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($1.00) 3 :diamond: 6 :club: 7 :club: (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.60, CO folds, SB calls $0.60

      Turn: ($2.20) 8 :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.30, SB raises to $3.90, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $4.80
      SB wins $4.57
      (Rake: $0.23)
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello YinYangS,

      59 is already discounted since it's unlikely him to have that kind of hand. But practically we ain't usually doing like very good in this case. I mean of course we could still consider going broke. Why? Because we need ~38% for break-even. But against something like this:

      Board: 3:diamond: 6:club: 7:club:  8:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    44.28%  44.28%   0.00% { 6d6h }
      UTG+1  55.72%  55.72%   0.00% { 88-77, 33, T9s, 86s+, 76s, 54s, Ac8c, 9c8c, T9o, 86o+, 76o, 54o }

      We are getting pretty decent equity. Although if you really rather prefer to avoid the variance and like the fold and take him rather passive player then folding is totally fine.

      Best regards.