This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH. QQ in 3bet pot.

    • Pkrpains
      Pkrpains
      Silver
      Joined: 04.10.2010 Posts: 382
      Hey,

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($16.09)
      Hero ($10)
      UTG ($2.32)
      CO ($5.87)
      BTN ($9.70)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: Q:diamond:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.35, fold, Hero raises to $1.10, BTN calls $0.75

      FLOP ($2.25) 8:club: 9:heart: 7:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.50, BTN raises to $6.75, Hero raises to $8.90 (AI), BTN calls $1.85 (AI)

      TURN ($19.45) 8:club: 9:heart: 7:diamond: A:spade:

      RIVER ($19.45) 8:club: 9:heart: 7:diamond: A:spade: 9:club:


      Opponent is fishy 37/11/2 AF, 20WTSD, 12W$SD in 78 hands

      Is it ok to go broke on flop here?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Pkrpains,

      Not really. Not the greatest flop to go broke. Of course we have some kind of equity but now against most likely not the greatest one. I might even be for a weak fold here. :( Just what kind of hands should we beat here? Of course he is a fish but he as well must see that our 3bet range is strong:

      Board: 8:club: 9:heart: 7:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    67.57%  66.32%   1.25% { KK+, JJ-77 }
      UTG+1  32.43%  31.18%   1.25% { QdQh }

      As I would imagine being the case. Of course we could as well add some 2pair combos and maybe even pair+draw or whatsoever. Since I'd rather expect him to slowplay with a hand like JT.

      But definitely a tough spot. If we add a bit into his range:

      Board: 8:club: 9:heart: 7:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    64.52%  63.46%   1.06% { KK+, JJ-77, A9s, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, A9o, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o }
      UTG+1  35.48%  34.42%   1.06% { QdQh }

      We still ain't doing very great. :( We need ourselves ~37% equity to make it break-even. So should at least have an overview. Also if he is even rather passive player would be hard to be ahead here. :(

      Best regards.