[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH river situation

    • wazawanga
      wazawanga
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.09.2009 Posts: 1,720
      Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1423515
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      Hero (SB): $31.17
      BB: $10.34
      UTG: $28.80
      CO: $30.63
      BTN: $34.27

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with J :club: J :heart:
      UTG raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) 3 :diamond: K :diamond: T :club: (3 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets $1.00, Hero calls $1, BB folds

      Turn: ($4.25) 2 :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $3.00, Hero calls $3

      River: ($10.25) 9 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $6.00, Hero raises to $26.42

      villain 21/13/6 in 100 hands and pretty agressive postflop
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      prefer 3-betting pf
      don´t mind that much your postflop game, but I think you get valuebet quite often on the turn and then you have to sometimes turn your hand into bluff to his river bet, so I think you can also fold to his turn bet.
      You´re reping QJ on the river and he would fold there likely one pair hands, so I´m fine with bluffshove, just don´t do it too often, since then he would likely going to b/c his one pair hands that he is betting for value
    • wazawanga
      wazawanga
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.09.2009 Posts: 1,720
      opponent was very positional aware , just didn't feel like 3betting JJ vs. UTG here even 5handed.

      since he cbets only 1/2 multiway pot i put him on NFD at least but on river when flush misses and bets this size it seems like AKo

      how often does he have to fold here in order for a bluff shove to be profitable?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by wazawanga
      opponent was very positional aware , just didn't feel like 3betting JJ vs. UTG here even 5handed.

      since he cbets only 1/2 multiway pot i put him on NFD at least but on river when flush misses and bets this size it seems like AKo

      how often does he have to fold here in order for a bluff shove to be profitable?
      you´re risking 26$ to win 16$. Since you´re likely always behind if get called, then I think formula is 26*x=16; x= 61,5%, which seems quite high percent. But you also have there quite a lot of fold equity with proper image, so I don´t mind shove.